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Articles by Andre Botha

Local elections, international uncertainty: How will the rand respond?

Local elections, international uncertainty: How will the rand respond?

25 April 2019

As we dust off the Easter Holiday cobwebs, we enter the business end of the local election. This brings about a lot of local noise which could increase volatility in the rand. The market will look at any headline news which could lend short-term...

Budget speech ended in a whimper

Budget speech ended in a whimper

27 February 2019

The key event last week for South Africa and the rand was the Budget Speech by Minister of Finance Tito Mboweni. The market was ready and waiting for an apocalyptic event, but the budget ended in a whimper. 

Rating agencies may come knocking

Rating agencies may come knocking

19 February 2019

It is only the middle of February, but the rand has already made two big moves. The first was the rand moving from R14.60 to R 13.20 at the beginning of the year, as emerging markets (EM) became fashionable again. The second was where the rand g...

Rand runs out of steam in lead-up to budget speech

Rand runs out of steam in lead-up to budget speech

12 February 2019

For all the foreshadowing that was done last week in terms of the two big speeches by the head of states in the United States (US) and South Africa (SA), very little happened as a direct consequence thereof.

What will the rand do in 2019?

What will the rand do in 2019?

29 January 2019

Compare the beginning of 2019 with that of 2018 and you can’t help but experience déjà vu. In both instances the rand strengthened quite significantly in January. However, the causes of the run are markedly different.

Rand 3.5% stronger – a good start to 2019

Rand 3.5% stronger – a good start to 2019

15 January 2019

The rand has started 2019 with a bang and is 3.5% stronger against the US dollar. This is mainly the result of off-shore events, which makes this sentiment driven. And ­- as we all know - sentiment can change at the drop of a hat. 

Trump, Trump and a little bit of South Africa

Trump, Trump and a little bit of South Africa

4 December 2018

What a November we had, with the rand staging one of its best months and closing below the R14.00 level. To be honest, this looked like quite a far-fetched possibility at one stage during the month. It seems that the tide has changed a little, e...

COLUMN: Taking an interest in the interest rate

COLUMN: Taking an interest in the interest rate

20 November 2018

The buzzword in economic terms are interest rates; especially this week when it’s announced whether the Monetary Policy Committee of the Reserve Bank (MPC) will increase or cut local interest rates. Ahead of this, Andre Botha, senior deal...

COLUMN: Why are USA mid-terms important to us?

COLUMN: Why are USA mid-terms important to us?

7 November 2018

It would not be surprising if a fair few of us had a bit of nostalgia with the sudden overflow of the word mid-term. Luckily it has nothing to do with late-night cramming for an exam - the key focus this week is the mid-term elections in America.

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